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Economics · Business Cycles Theory and Policy

Business Cycles Theory and Policy

From empirical business-cycle facts to the Real Business Cycle model: households, firms, equilibrium, calibration, solution methods and economic shocks.

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Appendix A. Notation and mathematical reference

This table consolidates notation used throughout the RBC framework. Time subscripts refer to the period; a bar indicates the deterministic steady state and a hat indicates the associated logarithmic deviation.

SymbolMeaning
Y, yGross domestic product / aggregate real output
C, cConsumption
I, iGross investment
GGovernment expenditures (in the introductory accounting model)
X, IM, ZX denotes exports; IM or Z denotes imports in the national-accounts comparisons. In the Keynesian-cross diagrams, Z instead denotes planned aggregate expenditure; the local definition identifies the intended meaning.
kₜ₋₁Predetermined productive capital available in period t
nₜ, lₜHours worked and leisure (nₜ + lₜ = 1)
zₜStochastic productivity / total factor productivity in the RBC model
wₜ, rₜReal wage and competitive capital rental rate
πₜFirm profits distributed to the household
α, θCapital elasticity / capital factor-income share in Cobb–Douglas production
βHousehold discount factor, 0 < β < 1
δCapital depreciation rate
ϕPreference weight on leisure in the specialized utility function
ρPersistence of the log productivity process
uₜOne-period technology innovation
EₜExpectation conditional on information available at date t
σ, σᵤStandard deviation of technology innovations in the calibration; earlier σ is also used for utility curvature
x̄Steady-state level
x̂ₜLog deviation ln(xₜ/x̄)

Important equilibrium equations

Production

yt=ztnt1−αkt−1α

A higher z raises output for given inputs; input elasticities sum to one.

Productivity dynamics

lnzt=ρlnzt−1+ut

ρ summarizes propagation through the exogenous technology process.

Capital accumulation

kt=(1−δ)kt−1+it

Today’s installed investment makes capital available in the subsequent production period.

Wage schedule

wt=(1−α)ytnt

Marginal product of labor equals the real wage.

Capital rental schedule

rt=αytkt−1

Marginal product of predetermined capital equals its rental price.

Time endowment

1=nt+lt

More labor reduces leisure, holding the endowment fixed.

Euler equation

1=β𝔼t[(ct+1ct)−1(rt+1+1−δ)]

The stochastic return enters tomorrow’s utility-weighted consumption opportunity.

Labor optimality

ϕct=wt

Under log consumption and linear leisure, work is chosen by equating its utility opportunity cost to its wage benefit.

Resource constraint

yt=ct+kt−(1−δ)kt−1

Closed-economy output is allocated between consumption and gross investment.

Steady-state capital return

αy‾k‾=1β−1+δ

The steady-state Euler condition determines the capital rental rate. The gross return on saving adds undepreciated capital: r̄ + 1 − δ = 1/β.

Steady-state investment

i‾=δk‾

Replacement investment exactly offsets depreciation.

Log deviation

x̂t=lnxt−lnx‾

A log deviation is approximately a proportional difference when small; multiplying by 100 expresses it in percent.

Linearized production

ŷt=ẑt+(1−α)n̂t+αk̂t−1

A log-linear Cobb–Douglas identity is exactly additive in log variables.

Linearized labor equation

ĉt=ŷt−n̂t

The linearized equilibrium condition after cancelling steady-state levels.

Linearized resource condition

y‾ŷt=c‾ĉt+k‾k̂t−(1−δ)k‾k̂t−1

Steady-state weights are necessary when adding deviations of different quantities.

Recursive solution

k̂t=λkkk̂t−1+λkzẑt

The policy rule separates responses to the two beginning-of-period states.

Equation consistency checks

  • The household Euler equation uses the gross return rₜ₊₁ + 1 − δ, not the capital rental rate rₜ₊₁ alone.
  • In period t, production uses kₜ₋₁ and not kₜ. Capital kₜ is selected by investment decisions at t and used in production at t+1.
  • The coefficient on labor is 1−α in the no-growth Cobb–Douglas production function. Factor shares add to one under perfect competition and constant returns to scale.
  • First-order log-linearization is a local percentage approximation. Never combine log-level equations with level resource weights without explicitly taking the approximation.
  • Empirical business-cycle moments are estimates associated with a specific sample and data transformation, not universal constants that must hold for every country or period.
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